Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.127317 4.424799 4.743436 5.111902 5.528512 5.987668 6.535768
2025-08-17 3.575732 3.973211 4.424972 4.982947 5.662985 6.477826 7.548925
2025-08-24 3.256550 3.703773 4.232455 4.915820 5.795076 6.917842 8.513587
2025-08-31 3.074333 3.563040 4.159722 4.961255 6.042759 7.506556 9.749956
2025-09-07 2.917624 3.432735 4.078302 4.973646 6.231846 8.025133 10.974138
2025-09-14 2.719332 3.231754 3.885351 4.811924 6.151746 8.134236 11.572793
2025-09-21 2.572600 3.085782 3.751106 4.713963 6.144912 8.341659 12.364674
2025-09-28 2.460903 2.977598 3.657903 4.662139 6.195123 8.637052 13.369612
2025-10-05 2.377140 2.900860 3.600988 4.655157 6.308864 9.046646 14.689321
2025-10-12 2.331558 2.872238 3.607426 4.739497 6.572278 9.748806 16.817171
2025-10-19 2.283911 2.837456 3.601764 4.803108 6.806196 10.434575 19.161248
2025-10-26 2.221601 2.778676 3.557345 4.801804 6.927819 10.925653 21.230205
2025-11-02 2.134273 2.682836 3.456661 4.709007 6.888662 11.109112 22.619988
2025-11-09 2.046800 2.583615 3.346682 4.594748 6.801644 11.184731 23.762447
2025-11-16 1.980370 2.511766 3.273833 4.535701 6.809017 11.463626 25.693765
2025-11-23 1.943993 2.481581 3.261793 4.575616 7.004545 12.197631 29.653752
2025-11-30 1.902999 2.442722 3.234139 4.586498 7.144577 12.833330 33.795855
2025-12-07 1.828271 2.351463 3.121490 4.444305 6.967574 12.661886 34.409044
2025-12-14 1.770880 2.284109 3.043488 4.357997 6.896023 12.747976 36.335816
2025-12-21 1.726254 2.234206 2.990629 4.312285 6.902554 13.037833 39.572831
2025-12-28 1.692966 2.200130 2.961235 4.306124 6.990490 13.565309 44.762985
2026-01-04 1.678883 2.194377 2.976415 4.380507 7.257589 14.662160 55.422334
2026-01-11 1.661482 2.182841 2.981543 4.436543 7.491342 15.734613 68.849981